Four years ago, my uncle sent a mass e-mail to me and a bunch of other relatives asking us to make election prediction maps and explain our reasoning, and that he would send a token prize of $1 to whoever was closest.  I figured, if you want to make a specific prediction of outcomes rather than just repeat the probabilities that a model spits out, … Continue reading Will the Switch to Voting by Mail be an Empowerment or an Obstacle?